Pre-tourney Rankings
Florida Atlantic
Conference USA
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.2#301
Expected Predictive Rating-9.5#300
Pace68.8#206
Improvement+1.7#107

Offense
Total Offense-6.4#315
First Shot-4.0#286
After Offensive Rebound-2.4#321
Layup/Dunks-1.7#261
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#242
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#182
Freethrows-0.6#223
Improvement+2.4#68

Defense
Total Defense-2.8#250
First Shot+0.1#168
After Offensive Rebounds-2.9#348
Layups/Dunks-2.7#287
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#291
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.3#6
Freethrows-0.8#228
Improvement-0.7#218
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 2   @ Michigan St. L 55-82 1%     0 - 1 -3.8 -9.7 +6.5
  Nov 21, 2015 244   @ Miami (OH) W 75-69 24%     1 - 1 +4.1 +8.7 -4.2
  Nov 22, 2015 279   Lipscomb L 65-79 44%     1 - 2 -21.6 -16.8 -3.8
  Dec 01, 2015 185   @ East Carolina L 48-74 16%     1 - 3 -24.5 -21.3 -5.0
  Dec 12, 2015 173   @ Central Florida L 61-75 14%     1 - 4 -11.8 -8.5 -3.4
  Dec 15, 2015 201   @ Eastern Kentucky L 73-80 18%     1 - 5 -6.7 -9.3 +3.3
  Dec 16, 2015 91   @ Tennessee L 62-81 6%     1 - 6 -10.1 -13.9 +5.8
  Dec 19, 2015 46   Florida St. L 59-64 4%     1 - 7 +5.6 -8.5 +14.0
  Dec 22, 2015 96   @ Hofstra L 54-68 6%     1 - 8 -5.3 -11.1 +4.6
  Dec 29, 2015 220   Tennessee Martin L 48-57 39%     1 - 9 -15.5 -27.5 +11.6
  Jan 03, 2016 236   @ Florida International L 59-76 23%     1 - 10 0 - 1 -18.6 -12.8 -6.6
  Jan 07, 2016 150   @ Marshall L 67-90 12%     1 - 11 0 - 2 -19.2 -11.7 -6.1
  Jan 09, 2016 181   @ Western Kentucky L 82-86 OT 15%     1 - 12 0 - 3 -2.1 +2.9 -4.8
  Jan 14, 2016 302   Southern Miss W 58-51 61%     2 - 12 1 - 3 -5.2 -12.7 +8.4
  Jan 16, 2016 161   Louisiana Tech W 63-61 27%     3 - 12 2 - 3 -0.8 -10.5 +9.6
  Jan 21, 2016 222   @ UTEP L 56-71 21%     3 - 13 2 - 4 -15.6 -17.5 +1.7
  Jan 23, 2016 339   @ Texas San Antonio W 86-71 56%     4 - 13 3 - 4 +4.1 +5.3 -1.3
  Jan 28, 2016 118   Old Dominion L 66-78 19%     4 - 14 3 - 5 -11.8 -0.8 -11.8
  Jan 30, 2016 195   Charlotte W 82-77 34%     5 - 14 4 - 5 +0.0 +0.2 -0.5
  Feb 04, 2016 130   @ Middle Tennessee L 73-85 9%     5 - 15 4 - 6 -6.7 +1.0 -7.1
  Feb 06, 2016 117   @ UAB L 67-104 8%     5 - 16 4 - 7 -30.9 -9.3 -18.3
  Feb 11, 2016 339   Texas San Antonio W 79-73 76%     6 - 16 5 - 7 -10.7 -4.9 -5.9
  Feb 13, 2016 222   UTEP L 82-89 39%     6 - 17 5 - 8 -13.5 -2.5 -10.3
  Feb 18, 2016 277   @ Rice L 85-90 33%     6 - 18 5 - 9 -9.6 +5.4 -15.0
  Feb 20, 2016 290   @ North Texas L 62-70 36%     6 - 19 5 - 10 -13.6 -13.7 +0.1
  Feb 27, 2016 236   Florida International L 63-71 43%     6 - 20 5 - 11 -15.5 -17.0 +1.9
  Mar 03, 2016 130   Middle Tennessee L 59-76 21%     6 - 21 5 - 12 -17.6 -12.2 -5.3
  Mar 05, 2016 117   UAB L 70-73 19%     6 - 22 5 - 13 -2.7 -6.0 +3.4
  Mar 08, 2016 339   Texas San Antonio W 82-58 67%     7 - 22 +10.2 +3.8 +7.4
  Mar 09, 2016 118   Old Dominion L 46-72 13%     7 - 23 -22.9 -16.6 -10.4
Projected Record 7.0 - 23.0 5.0 - 13.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 100.0 100.0 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 100.0% 100.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%